Download PDF , by Galit Shmueli

Download PDF , by Galit Shmueli

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, by Galit Shmueli

Download PDF , by Galit Shmueli

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Product details

File Size: 6070 KB

Print Length: 232 pages

Publisher: Axelrod Schnall Publishers; 2 edition (July 23, 2016)

Publication Date: July 23, 2016

Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC

Language: English

ASIN: B01IPLASG6

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#192,322 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)

Really helpful. It's less about the codes in it than what it taught me about how to think about forecasting and the processes to go about before doing them. It is a phenomenal book. I do have one criticism which is, close to the end of the book it seemed like a rush to get it done, but, it's still worth the buy

A great book for beginners in the field of time series forecasting. Very informative, yet simple to follow. The forecasting methods are explained in such a way that they can be understood easily. The book reads like a story, effortlessly capturing your interest.The usage of R code is wonderful because it facilitates the practical application of concepts learned throughout the book. Professor Shmeuli's book inspired me to conduct my own research in time series forecasting applied to tornadoes. I strongly recommend this book to all statistics lovers.

Very good book that details all the steps involved in forecasting.

I have taught, and teach, a two-course data mining sequence for the MBA business analytics specialization at my university using Dr. Shmueli’s Data Mining for Business Analytics and Practical Time Series Forecasting textbooks. Both the supporting materials and the textbooks are high-quality products that match up well with the mathematical facility and technical skills of my students. The exposition is accessible to students with a wide range of backgrounds, and balanced between enough mathematics to explain the methods but not so much that it raises barriers to understanding. I looked far and wide for comparable texts, but I know of no other combination that meets the needs of my students as well as these two texts. I unhesitatingly recommend them both.

I wanted to brush up on forecasting to prepare for a job interview. I though this book was a very good introduction to the topic and reasonably priced compared to other forecasting.

Solid book value for money, covers every topic sufficiently with the right amount of information, and use of good data and resourcesl

Really hits the sweet spot for someone looking for a gentle introduction to time series modeling: it covers all the bases (smoothers, ARIMA etc.), compares the pros and cons of different methods, discusses validation and testing, includes example code so you can get started right away and has just enough mathematical notation to simplify the descriptions of the methods. It's succinct but not dumbed down. For how much it costs, you really can't go wrong here.

While the book does go into some detail in some aspects, it is mostly a summary of some of the time series concepts...The main focus here is univariate time series analysis and after some research online most of these concepts can be found online, really wish there was more detailed examples and multiple pictures to help interpret the acf and pacf plots which are a main component to evaluating ARIMA models

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Ebook Federal Accounting Handbook: Policies, Standards, Procedures, Practices

Ebook Federal Accounting Handbook: Policies, Standards, Procedures, Practices

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Federal Accounting Handbook: Policies, Standards, Procedures, Practices

Ebook Federal Accounting Handbook: Policies, Standards, Procedures, Practices

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Review

"…is crucial not just for federal financial employees, but also for financial types at hundreds of thousands of nonprofits, government contractors and more." (Accounting Today, February 2007)

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From the Back Cover

Every day, tens of thousands of people are involved in the financial management of the federal government—planning, budgeting, accounting, processing, and reporting. Hundreds of thousands more deal with the federal government through their work with local and state governments, the public sector, and nonprofit organizations. Likewise, federal contractors, subcontractors, and grantees are responsible for accurately accounting for and reporting on their use of federal funds. Every one of these professionals needs to understand and abide by the federal accounting principles and procedures currently accepted and practiced, most of which are not necessarily the generally accepted accounting principles of the private sector, nonprofit sector, or other levels of government. Now in a second edition, Federal Accounting Handbook is the handbook that every financial federal employee can use, covering all of the recent revisions including new FASAB standards and how Congress wants the intent and objectives of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act to be implemented by federal departments and agencies. Written for both the professional and the non-professional, this handbook equips you with the what, why, when, and how of federal financial management, including: Financial Management Legislation and Policy The Chief Financial Officers Act of 1990 Federal Accounting Standards Advisory Board Pronouncements Office of Management and Budget Circulars and Bulletins The Federal Budget Accounting Events of the Federal Government Federal Financial and Information Systems Assets, Liabilities, and Net Entity Position Non-Appropriated Fund Activities Costing Federal Entities, Programs, and Activities And much more ESSENTIAL INFORMATION FOR: Federal accountants, budget officials, directors, and the staffs of chief financial officers, inspectors general, and internal auditors All CPAs, CGFMS, and CFAs Federal consultants, contractors, and grantees Professionals aspiring to credentials Anyone doing business with the federal government Also available: Federal Government Auditing: Laws, Regulations, Standards, Practices, and Sarbanes-Oxley OMB Circular A-123 and Sarbanes-Oxley: Management's Responsibility for Internal Control in Federal Agencies Wiley GAAP for Governments 2006

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Product details

Paperback: 376 pages

Publisher: Wiley; 2 edition (October 27, 2006)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0471739286

ISBN-13: 978-0471739289

Product Dimensions:

7.6 x 0.8 x 9.2 inches

Shipping Weight: 1.9 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

3.4 out of 5 stars

4 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#575,667 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Not worth it!

Good book

Not exactly what I thought it would be.

This should be considered the definitive reference for understanding accounting practices in the federal government. It not only provides specific examples on the accounts needed for many transactions, it also provides a history of how accounting practices have evolved in the federal government. Anyone who needs to have an understanding of federal accounting needs this book as a reference.

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Download The War in Your Head: A Feature Message from The Supernatural Power of a Transformed Mind

Download The War in Your Head: A Feature Message from The Supernatural Power of a Transformed Mind

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The War in Your Head: A Feature Message from The Supernatural Power of a Transformed Mind

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Audible Audiobook

Listening Length: 28 minutes

Program Type: Audiobook

Version: Unabridged

Publisher: Destiny Image Publishers

Audible.com Release Date: December 4, 2018

Language: English, English

ASIN: B07L1B9RNP

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

Recently I've struggled a lot with the despair that comes from deferred dreams. The first half of this short book was good, but throughout I felt myself thinking, "Yes, I know that, but..." For example, "I know I shouldn't give up, but I'm so tired of hoping when nothing ever seems to turn out right." Or, "I know I need to fight the battle in my mind, but I'm too weary." Or, everybody's favorite, "I know that God said this in the Bible, so it must be true, but where's the evidence? All around me I see proof of lies instead of truth."But the second half blew me away. The revelations of God's goodness and His love for me were exactly what I needed. God gave me breakthrough through this book.If you've been wrestling with any of the same things I have, read this book. You know God didn't set it before you by accident!

I found this read to be just so inspiring! It was exactly what I needed today!!! So much encouragement and enlightenment. I highlighted many passages, but one of my favorites was this one:"Uncertainty causes some people to misunderstand who God is. They begin to deny God's true nature and embrace sickness and disease, poverty and mental anguish as gifts from God. That is a devastating lie from hell. It's actually blasphemous to attribute to God the work of the devil. But many Christians want answers so badly during times of uncertainty that they invent theological answers to make themselves feel good about their present condition..."It is easy to be faithful and trust in God when you are happy, healthy, and stable. It's another thing entirely to trust Him when it seems all is lost. This book was such a beautiful reminder to be faithful and have trust every day. Not just the easy ones!!!

Very encouraging and practical. I loved this book. If you're going through a rough time, this is a must read.

Very simple reading. Bill Johnson breaks it down in scripture that even I understood it. 😉 It's a book that I can read again and again..

Few books today impress me with their lame theology. This book is sooo different! I pray every pastor of every church will read and take this teaching to heart. My only complaint is this booklet is far too short. I shall search for more books by this man of God who is filled with the Holy Spirit!

All of Bill Johnson's material is inspiring and very well researched. IMO. Just watch out that you are not been lured by the reseller to buy twice, since it is an excerpt from another book of Bill's - The Supernatural Power of a Transformed Mind.

You will miss the heavy, fullness of a prophet's teaching. If you have the opportunity to hear him in person developed your shorthand skills because you will find it necessary to ponder on the truth he is teaching.

I was seeking inspiration for perseverance through some personal challenges, and this book has certainly provided the information and inspiration that I was seeking!

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Ebook Free Peg + Cat: The Penguin Problem

Ebook Free Peg + Cat: The Penguin Problem

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Peg + Cat: The Penguin Problem

Ebook Free Peg + Cat: The Penguin Problem

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From School Library Journal

PreS-Gr 2—Peg and Cat are back for a new problem-solving adventure. The two friends journey to the South Pole for the Animal Winter Games. While making a snowman, Peg and Cat encounter skiing penguins practicing for the big race. The penguins can't figure out how to maneuver around obstacles and keep crashing. Coach Peg and Assistant Coach Cat come to the rescue. The penguins just need a little help understanding directional words (and the coordinating directional arrows) such as over, under, and in between. Maybe now the penguins can beat their animal competitors in downhill skiing and become champions. Fans of the PBS animated television series will appreciate seeing another book featuring the pair. However, familiarity with the television program is not essential for enjoyment or understanding of this picture book. Graph-paper backgrounds as well as math formula page numbers (the third page is labeled "2+1=3") cleverly reinforce the math themes. VERDICT Appropriate for young readers, delightful characters gently introduce important language arts (e.g., prepositions) and math problem-solving concepts.—Alyssa Annico, Youngstown State University, OH

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Review

Graph-paper backgrounds as well as math formula page numbers (the third page is labeled “2+1=3”) cleverly reinforce the math themes. Appropriate for young readers, delightful characters gently introduce important language arts (e.g., prepositions) and math problem-solving concepts.—School Library Journal

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Product details

Age Range: 3 - 7 years

Grade Level: Preschool - 2

Series: Peg + Cat

Hardcover: 32 pages

Publisher: Candlewick Entertainment (September 13, 2016)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 9780763690731

ISBN-13: 978-0763690731

ASIN: 0763690732

Product Dimensions:

11.6 x 0.3 x 9.6 inches

Shipping Weight: 1.1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.7 out of 5 stars

5 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#564,753 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

My 5 year old has been crazy about Peg + Cat since it debuted on PBS a few years ago. He knows this episode backwards and forwards, all the songs and little sounds. So this was a no brainer buy. He has a head start on sight words and this just helps his reading skill a little more. Even if we didn't have this show permanently etched in our brains, it's a cute story that utilizes several beginning math concepts.

Beautiful print quality and binding. True to the episode. Nice looking book. Good fun silly story for learning spatial concepts.

Bought this for the great-grandson. He liked it.

Excellent! You don't find many children's books with dust covers any longer, but these have them! Great book for any young person's library.

In PEG + CAT THE PENGUIN PROBLEM, Peg and Cat are at the South Pole building snowpeople and awaiting the start of the Animal Winter Games when a quartet of skiing penguins runs into them. They penguins are training for the games, but keep crashing into things. So, Peg and Cat help them out. PEG + CAT THE PENGUIN PROBLEM is a fun little story that contains all kinds of math related activities. For instance, all of the page numbers are written as math addition problems. Overall, the book is quite entertaining.

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Free PDF , by Charlotte Darcy

Free PDF , by Charlotte Darcy

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, by Charlotte Darcy

Free PDF , by Charlotte Darcy

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Product details

File Size: 2308 KB

Print Length: 140 pages

Simultaneous Device Usage: Unlimited

Publisher: Fair Havens Books (January 28, 2019)

Publication Date: January 28, 2019

Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC

Language: English

ASIN: B07N33TP46

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Faced with the fickleness of the ton, Esme is the self-appointed guardian of her sisters’ future prospects when it comes to marriage. Having determined that there were standards to be adhered to, she sets out to find the perfect husband. Esme quickly discovers that handsome is as handsome does and when she is publicly humiliated, help comes from a surprising source. Esme doesn’t always come across as the most congenial young woman, but George Wentworth eventually starts to win her over. The story is clean, well written and witty. Esme initially took herself too seriously and she really did need the grounding her siblings gave her. Although George is a tease, he is also a charming character with his protective attitude. The book is part of a series and some of the characters do overlap. It is nevertheless a standalone and comes to a happy ending. I received a copy of this novel as a gift and this is my honest and voluntary review.

This was such a delightful book. The story is about Esme', the eldest sister, who has reached her 20's and must start looking for an appropriate suitor, in her estimation. Her parents will not put that type of pressure onto any of their children. Wonderful characterization with multi-dimensional layers for the reader. A very clean, sweet and enjoyable read! I do recommend this book and this author. I look forward to the other books in this series.I received an ARC copy of this book. This is my voluntary and honest review with my own personal thoughts and opinions. Vicki from Wyoming

Esme is the eldest sister and she wants to make her family proud so she sets her sights on marrying the Marquis of Longton but he is embarrasses her at a ball but George Wentworth comes to her rescue. He seems to be everywhere she goes and her sisters think he is wonderful. Will Esme continue to want to marry for society sake or will she follow her heart? Lovely story and George was wonderful.Received from the author and this is my honest and unbiased opinion.

Esme the oldest of 3 sisters sets out to find a husband that she feels will live up to the standards of the times. However her sights are on the wrong man and unfortunately he and his friends make fun of her in public. But a mysterious man, George Wentworth, comes to her rescue and then proves what she is actually looking for.A delightful read by Charlotte Darcy.

Another sweet Regency Romance by Charlotte Darcy. Will Esme follow her heart or will she go with society and marry the Marquis? A clean read.

Thank you for sharing these wonderful romance novels series books. Please keep writing more of these wonderful books. Thank you

A truly sweet romance!Finding one's feet in society is one thingFinding your heart another!

Esme is a young woman who has studied how to become part of society and is not looking for love but to elevate her family in society although her parents just want her to find love.George is a mysterious man who rescues her from cruelty at a ball and shows up seemly everywhere she goes.You have to read this wonderful story to capture the magic.

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Ebook Free What about Your Saucepans?, by Lindsay De Feliz

Ebook Free What about Your Saucepans?, by Lindsay De Feliz

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What about Your Saucepans?, by Lindsay De Feliz

Ebook Free What about Your Saucepans?, by Lindsay De Feliz

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Review

This book is outstanding on two levels. First of all, it is a very compelling story. This is a Shakespearian tragedy that happens to be true.The second level is the marvelous insights that the story gives us on the Latin American culture and how it differs from what we are used to in the United States and Europe.This book is by no means a novel. Lindsay is "telling" her story in a masterful way. I decided that this is one of the more satisfying books I have read in a very long time. Mike Strickland: onlinebookclub.org

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Product details

Paperback: 262 pages

Publisher: Springtime Books (February 27, 2013)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 1909193313

ISBN-13: 978-1909193314

Product Dimensions:

5 x 0.6 x 8 inches

Shipping Weight: 10.4 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.8 out of 5 stars

101 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#1,398,102 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

I came across this book as I began to research moving to and living in the Dominican Republic. Lindsay de Feliz gives a unique perspective to the life of an expat in the Dominican Republic. Her story telling gives an exceptional understanding of living in the Dominican and the challenges of its culture, corruption, government and the lifestyle and pace of living in this island nation.With humor, Lindsay shares the inner dealings of this country from healthcare, work, family, culture and business. This was a highly entertaining and insightful. With great detail and honesty, this author shares experiences while sharing the real life of living in the Dominican. A rich history and detailed ride along on her journey away from the beaches and resorts.A great read and a real flavor for the people and culture of the Dominican Republic.

My first real look at the DR and it was an eye opener. Lindsay leaves her life in the UK to become a scuba diver and live a less hurried life. She tells her story with a softness that makes you want to like some of the characters that come her way. Her easy writing style has you page turning. As soon as I was done reading I purchased the sequel "Life After Saucepans". I highly recommend.

As an ex-pat also living in the DR, I was very interested to read this book, and wow! what a story. Sra. de Feliz writes with great feeling and dry wit. It is an amazing story and she is a VERY good storyteller. This is a fresh take on the classic ex-pat memoir, as it is not a "walk off into the sunset/vineyard/ashram and be forever happy" kind of story. There are ups and some very, very scary downs, but the author is a woman of incredible personal courage and she takes the good and the bad with unflinching honesty and deep affection for her adopted country. Highly recommended.

The author, Lindsay admits from the start she has always been headstrong. Her first husband (George Clooney-looking!) was seven years her junior.This self-described British executive would be bored and leave behind first husband and her beloved deluxe saucepans to teach scuba diving in the Dominican Republic. She literally takes a dive into the Dominican underclass, and gets much more than she had bargained for when quitting her British life.Her very descriptive prose tells of her adventures and resilience in her new life. Call it love, sheer stubbornness or foolishness, regardless, she immerses herself further and further into her chosen new lifestyle and hangs on to follow and support her newly found love as he goes from being her motorcycle lift to win the ruling party's candidate for mayor in their town. Local dirty politics would be too much for them, though, and he would be outclassed not by the opposition party candidacy, but absurdly by the mongering of his contender in the same party. A rollercoaster of a story, this quick read makes for a great movie script.

I'm a sucker for a nail-biting, suspense-filled drama and when it comes wrapped in an expat memoir, it's even better. Lindsay de Feliz's story reads like a well-plotted fiction but I had to keep reminding myself that it's the life she's really lived. It starts out with seemingly blissful escapism, when she leaves a loveless marriage to become a dive instructor in the tropics. She winds up in the Dominican Republic, meets a local, falls in love and the reader is lulled into a story of a simple, yet idyllic life on an island. It jarringly becomes more of a true grit story, filled with danger and political corruption that makes you shake your head in disbelief on the one hand (Why in the heck doesn't she leave?) and on the other, hold your breath, praying that she lives to tell another story. Definitely one I'll read more than once!

Lindsay de Feliz is the OG DR expat. I have lived in the Dominican Republic for 5 years, and this book should be required reading for anyone who plans to move here!! I only wish I would have bought this book five years ago when I first heard about it. Not only does Lindsay give a really accurate and funny image of Dominican culture and life from an expat perspective, but she is an awesome writer. This is one of those books you cannot put down and for this reason I would recommend it even to friends who don't live in the DR. I will probably buy copies for my family to read and recommend this to my students!

I purchased the book to get information about living in the Dominican Republic and wow was I surprised. This was a captivating read and I couldn't put it down! Lindsay de Feliz did exactly what so many of us have thought about doing but didn't have the guts to pull the trigger. She tells her true story of leaving the corporate world and mundane life behind to discover her passion and joy. Rather than this being a dull book about living in the Dominican Republic, it was a fascinating read that made me laugh and cry and understand the culture of the people there. A touching love story as well! I am ordering Life After My Saucepans right now! Wait! I may just buy my plane ticket instead!

I have lived in the Dominican Republic for 13 years and, whilst I haven't been through the most harrowing of Lindsay's experiences, I could relate to so many of the aspects of life here, so accurately portrayed. This tale of real life made me laugh, cry, shout with anger and frustration and smile at the resilience of the human spirit, the power of love and the character of the Dominican and Haitian people.It is an excellent blend of biography, with witty anecdotes, and an education into the way of life here in this tropical "paradise". More than that, for me it is a testimony to the power of good over evil and how God can use even the worst circumstances for the good.I could not put it down.

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Product details

File Size: 39353 KB

Print Length: 746 pages

Page Numbers Source ISBN: 1119318343

Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell; 2 edition (April 3, 2018)

Publication Date: April 3, 2018

Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC

Language: English

ASIN: B07BYHRK1B

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#673,305 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)

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